Governments across the spectrum are now regulating what AI models may say, not just how they are used. Why viewpoint regulation is structurally incoherent—and what it leaves ungoverned.

A handful of people now direct AI at nation-state scale, through structures built to keep their control beyond reach. A look at the machinery, and the gap no institution is sized to close.

Mission-driven organizations deliberate the hotel booking and wave through the two-year program. Why scrutiny should track reversibility, not cost or visibility, and what operations is actually for.

Two Northern Ireland peace deals, twenty-five years apart, built on nearly identical terms. Why the first collapsed and the second held, and what it reveals about institutions under low trust.

A structured forecast of when a US ally might decide to build the bomb, working through the conditions that would have to break first, in Bayesian terms.